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<article language="en">
	<journal>
		<journal_title>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences</journal_title>
		<journal_url>www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net</journal_url>
		<issn>1027-5606</issn>
		<eissn>1607-7938</eissn>
		<volume_number>11</volume_number>
		<issue_number>4</issue_number>
		<publication_year>2007</publication_year>
	</journal>
	<doi>10.5194/hess-11-1405-2007</doi>
	<article_url>http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/11/1405/2007/</article_url>
	<abstract_html>http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/11/1405/2007/hess-11-1405-2007.html</abstract_html>
	<fulltext_pdf>http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/11/1405/2007/hess-11-1405-2007.pdf</fulltext_pdf>
	<start_page>1405</start_page>
	<end_page>1416</end_page>
	<publication_date>2007-07-06</publication_date>
	<article_title content_type="html">A conceptual investigation of process controls upon flood frequency: role of thresholds</article_title>
	<authors>
		<author numeration="1" affiliations="1">
			<name>I. Struthers</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="2" affiliations="2,3">
			<name>M. Sivapalan</name>
			<email>sivapala@uiuc.edu</email>
		</author>
	</authors>
	<affiliations>
		<affiliation numeration="1" content_type="html">School of Environmental Systems Engineering, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley WA 6009, Australia</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="2" content_type="html">Centre for Water Research, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley WA 6009, Australia</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="3" content_type="html">now at: Department of Geography and Department of Civil &amp; Environmental Engineering University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, Illinois, IL 61801, USA</affiliation>
	</affiliations>
	<abstract content_type="html">Traditional statistical approaches to flood frequency inherently assume
homogeneity and stationarity in the flood generation process. This study
illustrates the impact of heterogeneity associated with threshold
non-linearities in the storage-discharge relationship associated with the
rainfall-runoff process upon flood frequency behaviour. For a simplified,
non-threshold (i.e. homogeneous) scenario, flood frequency can be
characterised in terms of rainfall frequency, the characteristic response
time of the catchment, and storm intermittency, modified by the relative
strength of evaporation. The flood frequency curve is then a consistent
transformation of the rainfall frequency curve, and could be readily
described by traditional statistical methods. The introduction of storage
thresholds, namely a field capacity storage and a catchment storage
capacity, however, results in different flood frequency &quot;regions&quot; associated
with distinctly different rainfall-runoff response behaviour and different
process controls. The return period associated with the transition between
these regions is directly related to the frequency of threshold exceedence.
Where threshold exceedence is relatively rare, statistical extrapolation of
flood frequency on the basis of short historical flood records risks
ignoring this heterogeneity, and therefore significantly underestimating the
magnitude of extreme flood peaks.</abstract>
	<references>
		<reference numeration="1" content_type="text"> Atkinson, S. E., Woods, R. A., and Sivapalan, M.: Climate and landscape controls on water balance model complexity over changing timescales, Water Resour. Res., 38(12), 1314, doi:10.1029/2002WR001487, 2002. </reference>
		<reference numeration="2" content_type="text"> Blöschl, G. and Sivapalan, M.: Process controls on regional flood frequency: coefficient of variation and basin scale, Water Resour. Res., 33(12), 2967&amp;ndash;2980, 1997. </reference>
		<reference numeration="3" content_type="text"> Eagleson, P. S.: Dynamics of flood frequency, Water Resour. Res., 8(4), 878&amp;ndash;898, 1972. </reference>
		<reference numeration="4" content_type="text"> Gupta, V. K., Castro, S. L., and Over, T. M.: On scaling exponents of spatial peak flows from rainfall and river network geometry, J. Hydrol., 187, 81&amp;ndash;104, 1996. </reference>
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		<reference numeration="7" content_type="text"> Kusumastuti, D. I., Struthers, I., Sivapalan, M., and Reynolds, D. A.: Threshold effects in catchment storm response and the occurrence and magnitude of flood events: implications for flood frequency, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 3, 3239&amp;ndash;3277, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="8" content_type="text"> Manabe, S.: Climate and the ocean circulation, 1, The atmospheric circulation and the hydrology of the Earth&apos;s surface, Mon. Wea. Rev., 97(11), 739&amp;ndash;774, 1969. </reference>
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		<reference numeration="10" content_type="text"> Pattison, A., Ward, J. K. G., McMahon, T. A., and Watson, B. (Eds.): Australian Rainfall and Runoff: Flood Analysis and Design, The Institution of Engineers, Australia, p 160, 1977. </reference>
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	</references>
</article>

