| Volumes and Issues Contents of Issue 1 Special Issue |
www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/11/408/2007/
© Author(s) 2007. This work is licensed
under a Creative Commons License.
Hydrological prediction in a non-stationary world
Abstract. The paper discusses evidence that common assumptions in the analysis of hydrological time series (homogeneous variability in random fluctuations about a constant mean value) may not be appropriate for some South American drainage basins. Relatively rapid changes have occurred, and are occurring, as a consequence of replacing mature forest by short crops and urban development. Some research claims to have detected non-linear trends in streamflow in rivers draining the south-eastern part of the sub-continent, together with decadal fluctuations and interannual peaks at ENSO timescales. The paper discusses the implications of such changes for hydrological practices now in widespread and largely unquestioned use.
Final Revised Paper (PDF, 785 KB)
Citation: Clarke, R. T.: Hydrological prediction in a non-stationary world, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 408-414, 2007. Bibtex EndNote Reference Manager
