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<article language="en">
	<journal>
		<journal_title>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences</journal_title>
		<journal_url>www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net</journal_url>
		<issn>1027-5606</issn>
		<eissn>1607-7938</eissn>
		<volume_number>13</volume_number>
		<issue_number>7</issue_number>
		<publication_year>2009</publication_year>
	</journal>
	<doi>10.5194/hess-13-999-2009</doi>
	<article_url>http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/13/999/2009/</article_url>
	<abstract_html>http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/13/999/2009/hess-13-999-2009.html</abstract_html>
	<fulltext_pdf>http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/13/999/2009/hess-13-999-2009.pdf</fulltext_pdf>
	<start_page>999</start_page>
	<end_page>1018</end_page>
	<publication_date>2009-07-07</publication_date>
	<article_title content_type="html">Analysing the temporal dynamics of model performance for hydrological models</article_title>
	<authors>
		<author numeration="1" affiliations="1">
			<name>D. E. Reusser</name>
			<email>dreusser@uni-potsdam.de</email>
		</author>
		<author numeration="2" affiliations="1,2">
			<name>T. Blume</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="3" affiliations="3">
			<name>B. Schaefli</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="4" affiliations="4">
			<name>E. Zehe</name>
		</author>
	</authors>
	<affiliations>
		<affiliation numeration="1" content_type="html">University of Potsdam, Institute for Geoecology, Potsdam, Germany</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="2" content_type="html">Helmholtz Centre Potsdam GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="3" content_type="html">Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Water Resources Section, Delft, The Netherlands</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="4" content_type="html">TU München, Institute of Water and Environment, München, Germany</affiliation>
	</affiliations>
	<abstract content_type="html">The temporal dynamics of hydrological model performance gives insights into
errors that cannot be obtained from global performance measures assigning a
single number to the fit of a simulated time series to an observed reference
series. These errors can include errors in data, model parameters, or model
structure. Dealing with a set of performance measures evaluated at a high
temporal resolution implies analyzing and interpreting a high dimensional
data set. This paper presents a method for such a hydrological model
performance assessment with a high temporal resolution and illustrates its
application for two very different rainfall-runoff modeling case studies. The
first is the Wilde Weisseritz case study, a headwater catchment in the
eastern Ore Mountains, simulated with the conceptual model WaSiM-ETH. The
second is the Malalcahuello case study, a headwater catchment in the Chilean
Andes, simulated with the physics-based model Catflow. The proposed
time-resolved performance assessment starts with the computation of a large
set of classically used performance measures for a moving window. The key of
the developed approach is a data-reduction method based on self-organizing
maps (SOMs) and cluster analysis to classify the high-dimensional performance
matrix. Synthetic peak errors are used to interpret the resulting error
classes. The final outcome of the proposed method is a time series of the
occurrence of dominant error types. For the two case studies analyzed here, 6
such error types have been identified. They show clear temporal patterns,
which can lead to the identification of model structural errors.</abstract>
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