Journal cover Journal topic
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1611-1629, 2017
http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/21/1611/2017/
doi:10.5194/hess-21-1611-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed
under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
17 Mar 2017
Seasonal forecasting of hydrological drought in the Limpopo Basin: a comparison of statistical methods
Mathias Seibert et al.

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Short summary
Seasonal early warning is vital for drought management in arid regions like the Limpopo Basin in southern Africa. This study shows that skilled seasonal forecasts can be achieved with statistical methods built upon driving factors for drought occurrence. These are the hydrological factors for current streamflow and meteorological drivers represented by anomalies in sea surface temperatures of the surrounding oceans, which combine to form unique combinations in the drought forecast models.
Seasonal early warning is vital for drought management in arid regions like the Limpopo Basin in...
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