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Hydrology and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 19, issue 6 | Copyright
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2737-2754, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2737-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 15 Jun 2015

Research article | 15 Jun 2015

Large-basin hydrological response to climate model outputs: uncertainty caused by internal atmospheric variability

A. Gelfan et al.
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ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (20 May 2015) by Vazken Andréassian
AR by Alexander Gelfan on behalf of the Authors (27 May 2015)  Author's response    Manuscript
Publications Copernicus
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Our paper is one of very few studies where the influence of stochastic internal atmospheric variability (IAV) on the hydrological response is analyzed. On the basis of ensemble experiments with GCM and hydrological models, we found, e.g., that averaging over ensemble members filters the stochastic term related to IAV, and that a considerable portion of the simulated trend in annual Lena R. runoff can be explained by the externally forced signal (global SST and SIC changes in our experiments).
Our paper is one of very few studies where the influence of stochastic internal atmospheric...
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