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Hydrology and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 19, issue 1
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 275–291, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-275-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 275–291, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-275-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 16 Jan 2015

Research article | 16 Jan 2015

The skill of seasonal ensemble low-flow forecasts in the Moselle River for three different hydrological models

M. C. Demirel et al.
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Short summary
This paper investigates the skill of 90-day low-flow forecasts using three models. From the results, it appears that all models are prone to over-predict runoff during low-flow periods using ensemble seasonal meteorological forcing. The largest range for 90-day low-flow forecasts is found for the GR4J model. Overall, the uncertainty from ensemble P forecasts has a larger effect on seasonal low-flow forecasts than the uncertainty from ensemble PET forecasts and initial model conditions.
This paper investigates the skill of 90-day low-flow forecasts using three models. From the...
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