Stochastic approach to analyzing the uncertainties and possible changes in the availability of water in the future based on scenarios of climate change

Oliveira, G. G.; Pedrollo, O. C.; Castro, N. M. R.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3585-2015

Articles | Volume 19, issue 8

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3585-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3585-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 19, issue 8

Research article

|

17 Aug 2015

Research article |

| 17 Aug 2015

Stochastic approach to analyzing the uncertainties and possible changes in the availability of water in the future based on scenarios of climate change

G. G. Oliveira, O. C. Pedrollo, and N. M. R. Castro

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Final revised paper (published on 17 Aug 2015)
Preprint (discussion started on 10 Apr 2015)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC C1367: 'Referee Comments', Joshua Ngaina, 09 May 2015
- AC C1932: 'Response to Reviewer #1', Guilherme Oliveira, 03 Jun 2015
RC C1428: 'Stochastic approach to analyzing the uncertainties and possible changes in the availability of water in the future based on a climate change scenario', Joseph Mutemi, 11 May 2015
- AC C1937: 'Response to Reviewer #2', Guilherme Oliveira, 03 Jun 2015

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish as is (03 Aug 2015) by Alfred Opere

AR by Guilherme Oliveira on behalf of the Authors (05 Aug 2015)

Short summary

The objective of this study was to analyze the changes and uncertainties related to water availability in the future, in the Ijuí River basin (south of Brazil), using a stochastic approach. In general the results showed a trend to increased flows. It can be concluded that there is a tendency to increase the hydrological variability during the period between 2011 and 2040, which indicates the possibility of occurrence of time series with more marked periods of droughts and floods.