Articles | Volume 21, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1911-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1911-2017
Research article
 | 
05 Apr 2017
Research article |  | 05 Apr 2017

Climate change impacts on Yangtze River discharge at the Three Gorges Dam

Steve J. Birkinshaw, Selma B. Guerreiro, Alex Nicholson, Qiuhua Liang, Paul Quinn, Lili Zhang, Bin He, Junxian Yin, and Hayley J. Fowler

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (04 Sep 2016) by Jan Seibert
AR by Steve Birkinshaw on behalf of the Authors (15 Nov 2016)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (18 Nov 2016) by Jan Seibert
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (11 Dec 2016)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (03 Feb 2017)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by Editor) (09 Feb 2017) by Jan Seibert
AR by Steve Birkinshaw on behalf of the Authors (17 Feb 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (08 Mar 2017) by Jan Seibert
AR by Steve Birkinshaw on behalf of the Authors (10 Mar 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
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Short summary
The Yangtze River basin in China is home to more than 400 million people and susceptible to major floods. We used projections of future precipitation and temperature from 35 of the most recent global climate models and applied this to a hydrological model of the Yangtze. Changes in the annual discharge varied between a 29.8 % decrease and a 16.0 % increase. The main reason for the difference between the models was the predicted expansion of the summer monsoon north and and west into the basin.