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Hydrology and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 21, issue 7
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3687–3700, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3687-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3687–3700, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3687-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 20 Jul 2017

Research article | 20 Jul 2017

Real-time updating of the flood frequency distribution through data assimilation

Cristina Aguilar et al.
Data sets

Discharge time series at Pontelagoscuro ARPAE https://www.arpae.it/dettaglio_generale.asp?id=2888&idlivello=1592

Discharge time series at Bratislava Global Runoff Data Center http://www.bafg.de/GRDC/EN/Home/homepage_node.html

Monthly precipitation and temperature time series HISTALP http://www.zamg.ac.at/histalp/

Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
Assuming that floods are driven by both short- (meteorological forcing) and long-term perturbations (higher-than-usual moisture), we propose a technique for updating a season in advance the flood frequency distribution. Its application in the Po and Danube rivers helped to reduce the uncertainty in the estimation of floods and thus constitutes a promising tool for real-time management of flood risk mitigation. This study is the result of the stay of the first author at the University of Bologna.
Assuming that floods are driven by both short- (meteorological forcing) and long-term...
Citation