Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-441-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-441-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
25 Jan 2017
Research article |
| 25 Jan 2017
Have precipitation extremes and annual totals been increasing in the world's dry regions over the last 60 years?
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Jakob Zscheischler
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Martin Heimann
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Holger Lange
Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research, Ås, Norway
Miguel D. Mahecha
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Leipzig, Germany
Michael Stifel Center Jena for Data-Driven and Simulation Science, Jena, Germany
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh
Weather and Climate Modeling, Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut, De Bilt, the Netherlands
Friederike E. L. Otto
Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, UK
Markus Reichstein
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Leipzig, Germany
Michael Stifel Center Jena for Data-Driven and Simulation Science, Jena, Germany
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18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Changes in mean and extreme temperature and precipitation events from different weighted multi-model ensembles over the northern half of Morocco S. Balhane et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05910-w
- Role of mean and variability change in changes in European annual and seasonal extreme precipitation events R. Wood 10.5194/esd-14-797-2023
- Space-time clustering of climate extremes amplify global climate impacts, leading to fat-tailed risk L. Bonnafous & U. Lall 10.5194/nhess-21-2277-2021
- Multidimensional risk in a nonstationary climate: Joint probability of increasingly severe warm and dry conditions A. Sarhadi et al. 10.1126/sciadv.aau3487
- A synthesis of hourly and daily precipitation extremes in different climatic regions R. Barbero et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2019.100219
- Trends in U.S. Hourly Precipitation Variance 1949–2009 L. Canel & J. Katz 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0097.1
- The decreasing range between dry- and wet- season precipitation over land and its effect on vegetation primary productivity G. Murray-Tortarolo et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0190304
- Summer‐Winter Contrast in the Response of Precipitation Extremes to Climate Change Over Northern Hemisphere Land A. Williams & P. O’Gorman 10.1029/2021GL096531
- Recent observed country‐wide climate trends in Morocco F. Driouech et al. 10.1002/joc.6734
- Parallelization of the flow-path network model using a particle-set strategy F. Zhang & Q. Zhou 10.1080/13658816.2019.1599126
- Testing water fluxes and storage from two hydrology configurations within the ORCHIDEE land surface model across US semi-arid sites N. MacBean et al. 10.5194/hess-24-5203-2020
- Intensification of precipitation extremes in the world’s humid and water-limited regions M. Donat et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab1c8e
- Future transition in climate extremes over Western Ghats of India based on CMIP6 models S. Shetty et al. 10.1007/s10661-023-11090-3
- High-elevation landforms are experiencing more remarkable wetting trends in arid Central Asia Y. ZHANG et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2022.04.007
- Local-scale changes in mean and heavy precipitation in Western Europe, climate change or internal variability? E. Aalbers et al. 10.1007/s00382-017-3901-9
- Changes in Extreme Precipitation Over Dry and Wet Regions of China During 1961‐2014 J. Han et al. 10.1029/2018JD029974
- Changes of Annual Precipitation and Probability Distributions for Different Climate Types of the World . Sharma & . Ojha 10.3390/w11102092
- Spatiotemporal variation of precipitation on a global scale from 1960 to 2016 in a new normalized daily precipitation dataset J. Liu et al. 10.1002/joc.7437
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Addendum: More extreme precipitation in the world's dry and wet regions M. Donat et al. 10.1038/nclimate3160
- Management of Unanticipated Extreme Flood P. Das & R. Rahman 10.4018/IJDREM.2018010102
- Trends in extreme rainfall over ecologically sensitive Western Ghats and coastal regions of Karnataka: an observational assessment V. Chandrashekar & A. Shetty 10.1007/s12517-018-3700-6
- Identification of Source‐Water Oxygen Isotopes in Trees Toolkit (ISO‐Tool) for Deciphering Historical Water Use by Forest Trees C. Sargeant et al. 10.1029/2018WR024519
Latest update: 15 Apr 2024
Short summary
The paper re-investigates the question whether observed precipitation extremes and annual totals have been increasing in the world's dry regions over the last 60 years. Despite recently postulated increasing trends, we demonstrate that large uncertainties prevail due to (1) the choice of dryness definition and (2) statistical data processing. In fact, we find only minor (and only some significant) increases if (1) dryness is based on aridity and (2) statistical artefacts are accounted for.
The paper re-investigates the question whether observed precipitation extremes and annual totals...
