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Hydrology and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 21, issue 12
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 6401–6423, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6401-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue: Sub-seasonal to seasonal hydrological forecasting

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 6401–6423, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6401-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 15 Dec 2017

Research article | 15 Dec 2017

Development of a monthly to seasonal forecast framework tailored to inland waterway transport in central Europe

Dennis Meißner et al.
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Beven, K. J.: Equifinality and Uncertainty in Geomorphological Modelling, in: The Scientific Nature of Geomorphology, edited by: Rhoads, B. L. and Thorn, C. E., Wiley, Chichester, UK, 289–313, 1996.
CCNR: Annual Report 2016 – Inland Navigation in Europe – Market Observation, Central Commission for the Navigation of the Rhine, Strasbourg, France, 2016.
Crochemore, L., Ramos, M.-H., and Pappenberger, F.: Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3601–3618, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3601-2016, 2016.
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Short summary
Inland waterway transport is a commercial sector relying on hydrological forecasts on different timescales. This paper describes the set-up of a monthly to seasonal forecasting system for the German waterways. Multiple approaches are tested, compared and combined. Despite the predictive limitations on longer lead times, this study reveals the existence of a valuable predictability on monthly up to seasonal timescales. Forecast quality depends on forecast location, lead time and season.
Inland waterway transport is a commercial sector relying on hydrological forecasts on different...
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