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HESS | Articles | Volume 22, issue 7
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3777–3788, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3777-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3777–3788, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3777-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 17 Jul 2018

Research article | 17 Jul 2018

Future extreme precipitation intensities based on a historic event

Iris Manola et al.

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Aerts, C. J. H. J., Botzen, W. J. W., Emanuel, K., Lin, N., de Moel, H., and Michel-Kerjan, E. O.: Evaluating flood resilience strategies for coastal megacities, Science, 344, 473–475, 2014. 
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Attema, J., Loriaux, J. M., and Lenderink, G.: Extreme precipitation response to climate perturbations in an atmospheric mesoscale model, Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 014003, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/1/014003, 2014. 
Bakker, A., Bessembinder, J., de Wit, A., Van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., and Hoek, S. B.: Exploring the efficiency of bias corrections of regional climate model output for the assessment of future crop yields in Europe, Reg. Environ. Change, 14, 865–877, 2014. 
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In a warmer climate, it is expected that precipitation intensities will increase and form a considerable risk of high-impact precipitation extremes. We investigate how observed extreme precipitation events would look like if they took place in a future warmer climate. This study applies three methods to transform a historic extreme precipitation event in the Netherlands to a similar event in a future warmer climate, thus compiling a future weather scenario.
In a warmer climate, it is expected that precipitation intensities will increase and form a...
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