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HESS | Articles | Volume 22, issue 7
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3933–3950, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3933-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3933–3950, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3933-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 20 Jul 2018

Research article | 20 Jul 2018

Mean and extreme precipitation over European river basins better simulated in a 25 km AGCM

Reinhard Schiemann et al.

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Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N.: The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale, Clim. Change, 134, 387–401, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5, 2016. a
Ban, N., Schmidli, J., and Schär, C.: Heavy precipitation in a changing climate: Does short-term summer precipitation increase faster?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 1165–1172, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062588, 2015. a
Blackmon, M. L.: A Climatological Spectral Study of the 500 mb Geopotential Height of the Northern Hemisphere, J. Atmos. Sci., 33, 1607–1623, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1976)033<1607:ACSSOT>2.0.CO;2, 1976. a
Casanueva, A., Kotlarski, S., Herrera, S., Fernández, J., Gutiérrez, J. M., Boberg, F., Colette, A., Christensen, O. B., Goergen, K., Jacob, D., Keuler, K., Nikulin, G., Teichmann, C., and Vautard, R.: Daily precipitation statistics in a EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble: added value of raw and bias-corrected high-resolution simulations, Clim. Dynam., 47, 719–737, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2865-x, 2016. a
Chan, S. C., Kendon, E. J., Fowler, H. J., Blenkinsop, S., Roberts, N. M., and Ferro, C. A. T.: The value of high-resolution Met Office regional climate models in the simulation of multihourly precipitation extremes, J. Climate, 27, 6155–6174, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00723.1, 2014. a
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A new generation of global climate models with resolutions between 50 and 10 km is becoming available. Here, we assess how well one such model simulates European precipitation. We find clear improvements in the mean precipitation pattern, and importantly also for extreme daily precipitation over 30 major European river basins. Despite remaining limitations, new high-resolution global models hold great promise for improved climate predictions of European precipitation at impact-relevant scales.
A new generation of global climate models with resolutions between 50 and 10 km is becoming...
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