Articles | Volume 22, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5527-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5527-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
25 Oct 2018
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 25 Oct 2018
| 25 Oct 2018
Modelling the water balance of Lake Victoria (East Africa) – Part 2: Future projections
Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Nicole P. M. van Lipzig
Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
Wim Thiery
Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
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Cited
34 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Modelling the water balance of Lake Victoria (East Africa) – Part 1: Observational analysis I. Vanderkelen et al. 10.5194/hess-22-5509-2018
- Characteristics of water isotopes and their indication for water budget in a closed reservoir, Southeast China Q. Huang et al. 10.2478/amns-2024-0002
- Implications of Improved Representation of Convection for the East Africa Water Budget Using a Convection-Permitting Model D. Finney et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0387.1
- Seventy-year long record of monthly water balance estimates for Earth’s largest lake system H. Do et al. 10.1038/s41597-020-00613-z
- Mathematical Modeling of Watersheds as a Subsidy for Reservoir Water Balance Determination: The Case of Paranoá Lake, Federal District, Brazil G. Nunes et al. 10.3390/hydrology7040085
- Assessment of the impact of the rise in Lake Victoria water levels on urban flooding using a GIS-based spatial flood modelling approach S. Mugume et al. 10.1080/1573062X.2023.2284960
- Impact of Climate and Land Use/Land Cover Change on the Water Resources of a Tropical Inland Valley Catchment in Uganda, East Africa G. Gabiri et al. 10.3390/cli8070083
- COSMO-CLM regional climate simulations in the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) framework: a review S. Sørland et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-5125-2021
- Susceptibility of Water Resources and Hydropower Production to Climate Change in the Tropics: The Case of Lake Malawi and Shire River Basins, SE Africa L. Mtilatila et al. 10.3390/hydrology7030054
- On the diurnal cycle of rainfall and convection over Lake Victoria and its catchment. Part 2: Meteorological factors in the diurnal and seasonal cycles S. Nicholson et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0085.1
- Evaluating the influence of different environmental water allocation schemes on the water level of a typical shallow lake in semiarid regions: From the perspective of an integrated modeling approach L. Zhou et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2022.112991
- Alternate reservoir operating policies for Lake Victoria in East Africa: A framework for balancing transboundary and local water demands D. Kikoyo et al. 10.1111/lre.12420
- Global Heat Uptake by Inland Waters I. Vanderkelen et al. 10.1029/2020GL087867
- ICDP workshop on the Lake Victoria Drilling Project (LVDP): scientific drilling of the world's largest tropical lake M. Berke & D. Peppe 10.5194/sd-33-21-2024
- Need for harmonized long-term multi-lake monitoring of African Great Lakes P. Plisnier et al. 10.1016/j.jglr.2022.01.016
- The impact of using different probability representations in application of equidistant quantile matching for bias adjustment of daily precipitation over the Daqing River Basin, North China M. Lv et al. 10.1002/joc.7272
- Historical simulations of temperature and precipitation from the CORDEX Africa model in the Wabi Shebele Basin S. Alemu et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad0f9d
- Uganda’s Hydropower System Resilience to Extreme Climate Variability F. Mujjuni et al. 10.3390/cli11090177
- Precipitation projection over Daqing River Basin (North China) considering the evolution of dependence structures X. Gao et al. 10.1007/s11356-021-16066-9
- Estimating the effect of rainfall on the surface temperature of a tropical lake G. Rooney et al. 10.5194/hess-22-6357-2018
- Combined impacts of climate and land-use change on future water resources in Africa C. Chawanda et al. 10.5194/hess-28-117-2024
- A novel method for assessing climate change impacts in ecotron experiments I. Vanderkelen et al. 10.1007/s00484-020-01951-8
- Possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the record-breaking 2020 Lake Victoria levels and floods R. Pietroiusti et al. 10.5194/esd-15-225-2024
- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa G. Haile et al. 10.1029/2020EF001502
- The effects of ENSO, climate change and human activities on the water level of Lake Toba, Indonesia: a critical literature review H. Irwandi et al. 10.1186/s40562-021-00191-x
- Evaluation of High-Resolution Precipitation Products over the Rwenzori Mountains (Uganda) F. Nakulopa et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0106.1
- Extreme climatic events to intensify over the Lake Victoria Basin under global warming O. Ogega et al. 10.1038/s41598-023-36756-3
- Droughts in East Africa: Causes, impacts and resilience G. Gebremeskel Haile et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.04.015
- A convection-permitting model for the Lake Victoria Basin: evaluation and insight into the mesoscale versus synoptic atmospheric dynamics J. Van de Walle et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-05088-2
- Lake Malawi’s threshold behaviour: A stakeholder-informed model to simulate sensitivity to climate change A. Bhave et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124671
- Reflections on almost a century of hydrological studies on Africa's largest lake K. Sene et al. 10.5194/piahs-384-141-2021
- Aircraft observations and sub‐km modelling of the lake–land breeze circulation over Lake Victoria B. Woodhams et al. 10.1002/qj.4155
- Effects of Explicit Convection on Future Projections of Mesoscale Circulations, Rainfall, and Rainfall Extremes over Eastern Africa D. Finney et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0328.1
- Assessing the Reliability of Satellite and Reanalysis Estimates of Rainfall in Equatorial Africa S. Nicholson & D. Klotter 10.3390/rs13183609
34 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Modelling the water balance of Lake Victoria (East Africa) – Part 1: Observational analysis I. Vanderkelen et al. 10.5194/hess-22-5509-2018
- Characteristics of water isotopes and their indication for water budget in a closed reservoir, Southeast China Q. Huang et al. 10.2478/amns-2024-0002
- Implications of Improved Representation of Convection for the East Africa Water Budget Using a Convection-Permitting Model D. Finney et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0387.1
- Seventy-year long record of monthly water balance estimates for Earth’s largest lake system H. Do et al. 10.1038/s41597-020-00613-z
- Mathematical Modeling of Watersheds as a Subsidy for Reservoir Water Balance Determination: The Case of Paranoá Lake, Federal District, Brazil G. Nunes et al. 10.3390/hydrology7040085
- Assessment of the impact of the rise in Lake Victoria water levels on urban flooding using a GIS-based spatial flood modelling approach S. Mugume et al. 10.1080/1573062X.2023.2284960
- Impact of Climate and Land Use/Land Cover Change on the Water Resources of a Tropical Inland Valley Catchment in Uganda, East Africa G. Gabiri et al. 10.3390/cli8070083
- COSMO-CLM regional climate simulations in the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) framework: a review S. Sørland et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-5125-2021
- Susceptibility of Water Resources and Hydropower Production to Climate Change in the Tropics: The Case of Lake Malawi and Shire River Basins, SE Africa L. Mtilatila et al. 10.3390/hydrology7030054
- On the diurnal cycle of rainfall and convection over Lake Victoria and its catchment. Part 2: Meteorological factors in the diurnal and seasonal cycles S. Nicholson et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0085.1
- Evaluating the influence of different environmental water allocation schemes on the water level of a typical shallow lake in semiarid regions: From the perspective of an integrated modeling approach L. Zhou et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2022.112991
- Alternate reservoir operating policies for Lake Victoria in East Africa: A framework for balancing transboundary and local water demands D. Kikoyo et al. 10.1111/lre.12420
- Global Heat Uptake by Inland Waters I. Vanderkelen et al. 10.1029/2020GL087867
- ICDP workshop on the Lake Victoria Drilling Project (LVDP): scientific drilling of the world's largest tropical lake M. Berke & D. Peppe 10.5194/sd-33-21-2024
- Need for harmonized long-term multi-lake monitoring of African Great Lakes P. Plisnier et al. 10.1016/j.jglr.2022.01.016
- The impact of using different probability representations in application of equidistant quantile matching for bias adjustment of daily precipitation over the Daqing River Basin, North China M. Lv et al. 10.1002/joc.7272
- Historical simulations of temperature and precipitation from the CORDEX Africa model in the Wabi Shebele Basin S. Alemu et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad0f9d
- Uganda’s Hydropower System Resilience to Extreme Climate Variability F. Mujjuni et al. 10.3390/cli11090177
- Precipitation projection over Daqing River Basin (North China) considering the evolution of dependence structures X. Gao et al. 10.1007/s11356-021-16066-9
- Estimating the effect of rainfall on the surface temperature of a tropical lake G. Rooney et al. 10.5194/hess-22-6357-2018
- Combined impacts of climate and land-use change on future water resources in Africa C. Chawanda et al. 10.5194/hess-28-117-2024
- A novel method for assessing climate change impacts in ecotron experiments I. Vanderkelen et al. 10.1007/s00484-020-01951-8
- Possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the record-breaking 2020 Lake Victoria levels and floods R. Pietroiusti et al. 10.5194/esd-15-225-2024
- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa G. Haile et al. 10.1029/2020EF001502
- The effects of ENSO, climate change and human activities on the water level of Lake Toba, Indonesia: a critical literature review H. Irwandi et al. 10.1186/s40562-021-00191-x
- Evaluation of High-Resolution Precipitation Products over the Rwenzori Mountains (Uganda) F. Nakulopa et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0106.1
- Extreme climatic events to intensify over the Lake Victoria Basin under global warming O. Ogega et al. 10.1038/s41598-023-36756-3
- Droughts in East Africa: Causes, impacts and resilience G. Gebremeskel Haile et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.04.015
- A convection-permitting model for the Lake Victoria Basin: evaluation and insight into the mesoscale versus synoptic atmospheric dynamics J. Van de Walle et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-05088-2
- Lake Malawi’s threshold behaviour: A stakeholder-informed model to simulate sensitivity to climate change A. Bhave et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124671
- Reflections on almost a century of hydrological studies on Africa's largest lake K. Sene et al. 10.5194/piahs-384-141-2021
- Aircraft observations and sub‐km modelling of the lake–land breeze circulation over Lake Victoria B. Woodhams et al. 10.1002/qj.4155
- Effects of Explicit Convection on Future Projections of Mesoscale Circulations, Rainfall, and Rainfall Extremes over Eastern Africa D. Finney et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0328.1
- Assessing the Reliability of Satellite and Reanalysis Estimates of Rainfall in Equatorial Africa S. Nicholson & D. Klotter 10.3390/rs13183609
Latest update: 15 Apr 2024
Short summary
Lake Victoria is the second largest freshwater lake in the world and one of the major sources of the Nile River, which is controlled by two hydropower dams. In this paper we estimate the potential consequences of climate change for future water level fluctuations of Lake Victoria. Our results reveal that the operating strategies at the dam are the main controlling factors of future lake levels and that regional climate simulations used in the projections encompass large uncertainties.
Lake Victoria is the second largest freshwater lake in the world and one of the major sources of...
