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HESS | Articles | Volume 23, issue 3
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1533–1551, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1533-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue: Modelling lakes in the climate system (GMD/HESS inter-journal...

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1533–1551, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1533-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 18 Mar 2019

Research article | 18 Mar 2019

Future projections of temperature and mixing regime of European temperate lakes

Tom Shatwell et al.
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Adrian, R., O'Reilly, C. M., Zagarese, H., Baines, S. B., Hessen, D. O., Keller, W., Livingstone, D. M., Sommaruga, R., Straile, D., Van Donk, E., Weyhenmeyer, G. A., and Winder, M.: Lakes as sentinels of climate change, Limnol. Oceanogr., 54, 2283–2297, https://doi.org/10.4319/lo.2009.54.6_part_2.2283, 2009. 
Benson, B. J., Magnuson, J. J., Jensen, O. P., Card, V. M., Hodgkins, G., Korhonen, J., Livingstone, D. M., Stewart, K. M., Weyhenmeyer, G. A., and Granin, N. G.: Extreme events, trends, and variability in Northern Hemisphere lake-ice phenology (1855–2005), Clim. Change, 112, 299–323, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0212-8, 2012. 
Bernhardt, J., Engelhardt, C., Kirillin, G., and Matschullat, J.: Lake ice phenology in Berlin-Brandenburg from 1947–2007: observations and model hindcasts, Clim. Change, 112, 791–817, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0248-9, 2012. 
Bivand, R. and Lewin-Koh, N.: maptools: Tools for Reading and Handling Spatial Objects, 2016. 
Boike, J., Georgi, C., Kirilin, G., Muster, S., Abramova, K., Fedorova, I., Chetverova, A., Grigoriev, M., Bornemann, N., and Langer, M.: Thermal processes of thermokarst lakes in the continuous permafrost zone of northern Siberia – observations and modeling (Lena River Delta, Siberia), Biogeosciences, 12, 5941–5965, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-5941-2015, 2015. 
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We used models to project future temperature and mixing in temperate lakes. Lakes will probably warm faster in winter than in summer, making ice less frequent and altering mixing. We found that the layers that form seasonally in lakes (ice, stratification) and water clarity affect how lakes accumulate heat. Seasonal changes in climate were thus important. This helps us better understand how different lake types respond to warming and which physical changes to expect in the future.
We used models to project future temperature and mixing in temperate lakes. Lakes will probably...
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