Articles | Volume 23, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-371-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-371-2019
Research article
 | 
22 Jan 2019
Research article |  | 22 Jan 2019

Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part 2: Sources of skill

Wouter Greuell, Wietse H. P. Franssen, and Ronald W. A. Hutjes

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by Editor and Referees) (01 May 2017) by Ilias Pechlivanidis
AR by Wouter Greuell on behalf of the Authors (20 Aug 2018)  Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (03 Sep 2018) by Ilias Pechlivanidis
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (08 Oct 2018)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (22 Oct 2018)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (05 Nov 2018) by Ilias Pechlivanidis
AR by Wouter Greuell on behalf of the Authors (28 Nov 2018)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (21 Dec 2018) by Ilias Pechlivanidis
AR by Wouter Greuell on behalf of the Authors (24 Dec 2018)

Post-review adjustments

AA: Author's adjustment | EA: Editor approval
AA by Wouter Greuell on behalf of the Authors (17 Jan 2019)   Author's adjustment   Manuscript
EA: Adjustments approved (17 Jan 2019) by Ilias Pechlivanidis
Short summary
This paper explains why forecasts of river flow in Europe for a time between 1 and 7 months have skill. The forecasts were produced with a water model. The model reacts to forecasts of weather variables like precipitation, which tend to have little skill and hence hardly contribute to the skill in the forecasts of river flow. The paper shows when and where these forecasts have skill; this is mostly due to knowledge of the amount of water in the soil at the time the forecasts are made.