Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2921-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2921-2020
Research article
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03 Jun 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 03 Jun 2020

Comparing Palmer Drought Severity Index drought assessments using the traditional offline approach with direct climate model outputs

Yuting Yang, Shulei Zhang, Michael L. Roderick, Tim R. McVicar, Dawen Yang, Wenbin Liu, and Xiaoyan Li

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Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (13 Apr 2020) by Adriaan J. (Ryan) Teuling
AR by Yuting Yang on behalf of the Authors (21 Apr 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (23 Apr 2020) by Adriaan J. (Ryan) Teuling
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (24 Apr 2020)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (27 Apr 2020)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (27 Apr 2020) by Adriaan J. (Ryan) Teuling
AR by Yuting Yang on behalf of the Authors (28 Apr 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (07 May 2020) by Adriaan J. (Ryan) Teuling
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Short summary
Many previous studies using offline drought indices report that future warming will increase worldwide drought. However, this contradicts observations/projections of vegetation greening and increased runoff. We resolved this paradox by re-calculating the same drought indices using direct climate model outputs and find no increase in future drought as the climate warms. We also find that accounting for the impact of CO2 on plant transpiration avoids the previous overestimation of drought.