Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3077-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3077-2020
Research article
 | 
12 Jun 2020
Research article |  | 12 Jun 2020

Future shift in winter streamflow modulated by the internal variability of climate in southern Ontario

Olivier Champagne, M. Altaf Arain, Martin Leduc, Paulin Coulibaly, and Shawn McKenzie

Data sets

Historical Hydrometric Data – Water Level and Flow Environment and Climate Change Canada https://wateroffice.ec.gc.ca/mainmenu/historical_data_index_e.html

Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) USGS https://www.usgs.gov/software/precipitation-runoff-modeling-system-prms

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Short summary
Using 50 members of one regional climate model and a processed-based hydrological model applied in four river basins in southern Ontario, this work focused on the winter streamflow projection uncertainties for the first half of 21st century. The results show a January–February increase of streamflow for the 50 projections due to early snowmelt and a rainfall increase. The streamflow projections are also modulated by the change of pressure patterns advecting different air masses over the region.