Simulations of future changes in thermal structure of Lake Erken: proof of concept for ISIMIP2b lake sector local simulation strategy

Ayala, Ana I.; Moras, Simone; Pierson, Donald C.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3311-2020

Articles | Volume 24, issue 6

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3311-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue:

Modelling lakes in the climate system (GMD/HESS inter-journal...

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3311-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 24, issue 6

Research article

|

29 Jun 2020

Research article |

| 29 Jun 2020

Simulations of future changes in thermal structure of Lake Erken: proof of concept for ISIMIP2b lake sector local simulation strategy

Ana I. Ayala, Simone Moras, and Donald C. Pierson

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3311-2020-supplement

Data sets

GOTM water temperature simulations forced at different frequency in the meteorological inputs in Lake Erken (Sweden) A. I. Ayala, D. C. Pierson, and S. Moras https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.ace98c3bc72b44f1834a58ec8b3af310

GOTM simulations of future changes in thermal structure of Lake Erken drived by daily and synthetic hourly ISIMIP projections A. I. Ayala, S. Moras, and D. C. Pierson https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.2b4cfe0f02bf4375bcd0b62e45c61b19

Model code and software

ISIMIP2b bias-corrected climate model projections for lake Erken in Sweden (59.6⁰ N, 18.6⁰ E) A. I. Ayala, S. Moras, and D. C. Pierson https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.e16b8e2a3e7c4e7fb3169d7591be2689

Short summary

The impacts of different levels of global warming on the thermal structure of Lake Erken are assessed. We used the General Ocean Turbulence Model (GOTM) to simulate water temperature driven by meteorological scenarios supplied by the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) and tested its ability at different frequencies. Then, daily ISIMIP meteorological scenarios were disaggregated and assessed for the effects of climate change on lake thermal structure.